• 2015년 3월
  • Techtrend

    Home / Archive by category "Techtrend" (Page 46)

    Article

    GM Volt Cost Estimate Up

    GM Volt Cost Estimate Up

    We really aren’t ready for Peak Oil and we aren’t going to be ready in a few years. GM’s pluggable electric hybrid Chevy Volt was originally projected to cost $30,000. GM’s latest estimate for the Volt’s cost? $48,000.

    Figuring out how to make wipers, a stereo and other accessories that don’t kill the Volt’s range has proven a tough nut to crack, and it’s one reason the Volt’s price seems to be rising. The Volt came with a $30,000 price tag when GM unveiled it at the North American International Auto Show last year. At this year’s show, Lutz told us it could hit $40,000. Now he’s saying it could hit $48,000 and it could be years before GM sees a profit from it.

    GM wants the Volt to go 40 miles on electric power before switching over to gasoline. The 40 miles is enough to let most people drive to work and back. Then to avoid gasoline usage you’d have to plug the car in every day. Easy to do if you park in your own garage. Not so easy if you don’t.

    GM will probably start out selling the Volt at a loss. Though if oil production starts declining by 2010 then the demand for electrically powered cars might allow GM to sell the Volt at a much higher price.

    “When GM brings out that electric car, they’re going to be taking a huge loss on that for a number of years,” UAW President Ron Gettelfinger said in a speech to a business group.

    Battery cost is a big problem.

    The Volt’s 300-pound battery pack will be among its most-expensive components. Menahem Anderman, a battery analyst based in Oregon House, Calif., has estimated each such lithium-ion pack may cost about $10,000.

    GM is attempting to show the batteries will last 10 years.

    “Production timing of the Volt is directly related to our ability to predict how this battery will perform over the life of the vehicle,” said Frank Weber, Chevrolet Volt and E-Flex systems global vehicle chief engineer. “The challenge is predicting 10 years of battery life with just two years of testing time.”

    At 10 years life expectancy the cost per year for the batteries works out to over $1000 once interest on the money is considered. But maybe the batteries will last longer.

    [참관기-2008제네바국제모터쇼] 키워드는 그린과 옐로, 미니 그리고 디자인

    [참관기-2008제네바국제모터쇼] 키워드는 그린과 옐로, 미니 그리고 디자인

    2008_G.jpg

    지난 3월 4일부터 16일까지 스위스 제네바국제공항 옆 팔렉스포(Palexpo)전시장에서 개최된 ‘2008 제네바모터쇼’는 글로벌 자동차업계에 거세게 불고 있는 4가지 트렌드(trend)를 분명하게 확인할 수 있는 자리였다.

    간추린 키워드는 그린(green)과 옐로(yellow), 미니(mini) 그리고 디자인(design). 각각 친환경차의 대중화, 중국·인도차의 급부상, 치열해지는 초소형차 경쟁, 파격적 디자인의 보편화를 의미한다. 이 모두는 급변하는 글로벌 자동차산업 흐름과 밀접한 관련이 있는 만큼 향후 시장판도에도 상당한 영향을 미칠 수밖에 없을 것이다.

    친환경차, 범용화 경쟁 불붙다

    세계 각국의 기자들을 포함해 모터쇼 참관자들은 이구동성으로 제네바모터쇼를 계기로 그린카(친환경차)의 범용화 경쟁이 본격적으로 시작되는 듯하다고 전했다.

    한 예로 BMW는 전시공간 전체를 이 회사 고유의 친환경차 전략인 ‘이피션트 다이내믹스(Efficient Dynamics)’를 알리는 데 할애했다. 기존 주행성능을 그대로 유지하는 가운데 연료소모와 배기가스 방출을 크게 줄인 친환경 디젤 신모델 등으로 시장변화에 대응한다는 구상이다. BMW는 올해 유럽에서만 ‘이피션트 다이내믹스’ 기술을 적용한 차량 70만대를 판매할 계획으로 이들 신차효과는 연료는 2006년대비 1억5,000만ℓ, 탄소배출은 37만3,000t을 줄일 수 있다고 밝혔다.

    폭스바겐은 인기차종인 골프 TDI의 디젤 하이브리드를 처음 공개하면서 경유 1ℓ당 29.4㎞, 3.4ℓ면 100㎞를 달릴 수 있다고 소개했다. 메르세데스 벤츠도 GLK 블루텍 하이브리드를 통해 첫 하이브리드모델을 내놨고 포드는 탄소배출을 줄이고 연료효율을 높인 소형차 피에스타 새 모델을 통해 유럽시장을 적극 공략할 뜻을 밝혔다.

    현대차 역시 차세대 경차와 준중형차로 개발한 i10과 i30의 그린카 모델을 함께 선보였다. i10블루와 i30블루로 명명된 이들 차량은 향후 유럽시장 확대의 첨병이 될 저공해, 고연비 모델들이다. 기아차는 유럽 내 인기차종인 씨드 하이브리드모델의 5도어 버전을 첫 공개했다.

    419.jpg

    인도·중국차 몰려오고 미니카 경쟁 치열
    중국과 인도 자동차는 제네바모터쇼의 새로운 주인이었다. 2,500달러 짜리 초저가차 ‘나노(Nano)’ 개발로 유명한 인도 타타자동차와 함께 진베이(金杯), BYD 등 중국 자동차메이커들은 이번 전시회를 통해 ‘목표는 글로벌시장 진출’이라는 점을 분명히 했다.

    타타자동차는 인도 밖에서는 처음 공개한 ‘나노’ 외에 소형차 인디카 신모델과 픽업트럭 제논, SUV 사파리 등을 함께 전시해 많은 참관자들의 발길을 붙잡았다. 사전공개 행사 첫 날, 진행한 설명회에선 물밀듯 밀려든 기자들로 발디딜 틈조차 없었다.

    BMW와 기술제휴 중인 중국 진베이(金杯)자동차는 브릴리언스 브랜드로 지난해에 이어 두번째로 모터쇼에 참가했다. 출품모델은 중소형차인 BC3와 BS4, BS6 등 3종.지난해 안전성 결함으로 곤욕을 치렀던 이 회사는 올 여름께 유럽 준중형차시장 개척에 다시 나서겠다고 밝혔다. 또다른 중국업체인 BYD자동차는 소형차 F3 세단 및 해치백과 함께 하이브리드모델, 미니카 F1, 중형차 F6 등을 내놔 눈길을 끌었다. 지난해 러시아에 진출했던 이 회사 역시 올해 서유럽지역으로 판매시장을 넓히겠다는 야심을 감추지 않았다.

    318.jpg

    깜찍한 미니카들의 경연은 올 제네바모터쇼에서의 또다른 특징이었다. 럭셔리 미니카의 대명사인 BMW ‘미니’와 벤츠 ‘스마트’에 토요타가 미니카 양산모델 ‘iQ’를 내놓으며 경쟁에 가세했다. GM 계열의 오펠 역시 1ℓ엔진을 장착한 초소형 아질라(Agila)를 선보였다.

    토요타가 새로 선보인 iQ 미니카의 양산형모델은 초소형 4인승 자동차. 전체길이가 3m도 되지 않지만 성인 세 명과 어린이 한 명의 공간을 갖췄다. 토요타는 하이브리드차 프리우스보다 이산화탄소 배출량이 적은 친환경차라고 소개했다. BMW와 벤츠는 각각의 미니카 브랜드인 ‘미니’와 ‘스마트’ 전시공간을 메인 브랜드보다 더 크게 그리고 더 앞쪽에 마련하며 뛰어난 실용성과 경제성을 자랑했다.

    또 파격적 디자인은 더 이상 컨셉트카만의 전유물은 아니었다. 과거엔 좀체 상상할 수 없었던 디자인을 양산모델에 채택한 사례가 그만큼 많았다. 본격 생산을 앞둔 기아차의 컨셉트카 쏘울(SOUL)의 3가지 모델은 파격적 디자인과 색상으로 큰 관심을 끌었다. 스포츠카 이미지의 쏘울 버너는 기존 자동차 색상에선 좀체 보기 힘든 검붉은 투톤컬러를 적용해 호평받았다. 르노가 내놓은 메간 쿠페도 주목받은 양산형 컨셉트카모델 가운데 하나. 휴대폰을 이용해 여닫을 수 있는 잠자리 날개형 도어 등을 보려는 관람객 발길이 끊이지 않았다.

    김 수 언 한국경제신문 산업부 차장

    Road for electric car makers full of potholes

    Road for electric car makers full of potholes

    37517651.jpg
    Fisker Automotive made a splash at January’s Detroit auto show with a sculptural sedan, the Karma, that it says will reach 125 miles per hour and cost $80,000. Unlike competitors’ vehicles, the Karma is a plug-in hybrid, using battery and gasoline power.

    Lacking the acumen of traditional automakers, the start-ups building the vehicles are struggling with production problems.
    By Ken Bensinger, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer
    April 5, 2008
    San Carlos, Calif.

    On an overcast Friday in February, about 100 people gathered behind Tesla Motors Inc. headquarters, awaiting the future of transportation. A truck pulled up with a trailer, which disgorged a sleek black electric sports car that promises to change the world as much as the Model T did a century ago.

    The crowd toasted with champagne as Elon Musk, Tesla’s chairman, climbed a staircase and made a triumphant speech. “This is the culmination of an enormous amount of work,” he said.

    What he didn’t mention was that Tesla’s Roadster had arrived months behind schedule with an improvised transmission that reduced acceleration by 40%. Or that the San Carlos, Calif.-based company’s visionary co-founder had been abruptly ousted months before. Or that Tesla plans to make fewer than 1,000 of the cars this year — and sell them for $100,000 apiece.

    Tesla and more than two dozen other start-up companies — most based in California and backed by piles of venture capital — are in a feverish race to develop a viable electricity-powered alternative to the internal combustion engine. Electric cars, they argue, offer less pollution and noiseless operation for a fraction of the per-mile cost of traditional automobiles, while weaning drivers off oil.

    Yet even environmentalists and investors who want to see these companies succeed question whether they have the know-how or leadership to replace the nation’s gasoline fleet with one that runs on electrons. Despite increasing competition from rival technologies such as ethanol and hydrogen fuel cells, many of these companies seem bogged downfighting lawsuits, issuing breathless press releases, pummeling their rivals on blogs and bickering internally.

    Last week, California’s top air regulator voted to reduce the number of all-electric vehicles it would require large automakers to market in the state in coming years. That, combined with the start-up industry’s challenges, could further delay technological advances and shift momentum away from electric cars altogether.

    “There are real questions about whether they can do this,” said Chelsea Sexton, who worked with General Motors Corp. on electric cars in the 1990s and is now executive director of Plug In America, an advocacy group. “There’s a lot of talk, but it’s still vaporware.”

    Even investors have doubts.

    “It’s very cute for people out of Silicon Valley to want to bolt an electric motor to a chassis,” said Ray Lane, managing partner at venture capital firm Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, which has invested in two electric start-ups: Irvine’s Fisker Automotive Inc. and Think! of Norway. “But that’s a long way from actually making a real car.”

    Most traditional automakers have programs to develop electric, fuel cell and biofuel cars, and are under government pressure to improve the fuel economy of their fleets, adding to speculation that they may gobble up any start-up that produces a viable electric car.

    “Even if these start-ups are successful, I worry their prize will be that they’re forced to compete with Toyota and GM,” said Silicon Valley venture capitalist Vinod Khosla, who put money in ethanol rather than electric cars. “That’s why I never invested.”

    A closer look at four of these California companies — Tesla, Phoenix Motorcars Inc., Fisker and Zap — illustrates the challenges facing start-ups trying to build the car of the future.

    Production trouble

    Ontario-based Phoenix plans to build an electric vehicle using a Korean Ssanyong pickup powered by a battery that can be charged in as little as 10 minutes.

    Faced with production costs that suppliers say are more than double the truck’s $47,000 retail price, the company cut ties with its motor supplier and engineering firm last year, leading both to take legal action against Phoenix.

    As a result, Phoenix blew its goal of delivering 500 trucks in 2007 (it produced none). That, in turn, threatened its contract with Nevada-based battery supplier Altairnano. Last month, Phoenix said it had severed relations with its co-founder and chief technology officer, Daniel Riegert, after an outside inquiry about his history of convictions for forgery and possession of stolen property. Now, the privately held outfit says it plans to design its own motor and switch from rear-wheel to front-wheel drive, major challenges for a company that didn’t develop the technology in its prototype.

    “The feeling is that they aren’t bringing anything of their own to the table, which is problematic,” said Spencer Quong, head of the Union of Concerned Scientists’ Clean Vehicle program.

    Chief Executive Daniel Elliott said Phoenix hoped to deliver its first trucks by May. “We’re heading down the final stretch.”

    Riegert could not be reached for comment.

    27% Fuel Savings Projected as 2/4-stroke Research Prototype Engine Completes Initial Testing

    27% Fuel Savings Projected as 2/4-stroke Research Prototype Engine Completes Initial Testing

    VAN BUREN TWP., Mich., March 25 /PRNewswire/ — Ricardo and a consortium of automotive partners today announced the completion of an advanced prototype research program based on the highly innovative 2/4SIGHT engine concept. This gasoline engine concept uses novel combustion, boosting, control and valve actuation technologies to enable automatic and seamless switching between two- and four-stroke operation, with the aim of delivering significant performance and fuel economy improvements through
    aggressive downsizing.

    The 2/4SIGHT engine concept uses a direct injection gasoline combustion system in which the design of intake and exhaust ports, combined with appropriate changes in boost supply, fuel injection, ignition and valve timing, enable operation both in two-stroke and four-stroke modes. An advanced control system coupled with flexible valve actuation manages driver demands and coordinates operation of the boost system, valves and fuel injection equipment at an individual cylinder level. This enables smooth transitions  between two- and four-stroke operation without torque interruption in both transient and constant torque conditions.

    Prototype engine configuration

    The research prototype engine is based on a single bank of a 2.1-liter V6, which in 6-cylinder 2/4SIGHT configuration is intended to deliver levels of performance and drivability more usually associated with a 3-4 liter V8 gasoline engine. In order to enable the project team to assess control strategies in a completely unrestricted manner, an electro-hydraulic valve (EHV) actuation system was used for the prototype development rig
    The air handling system of the 2/4SIGHT concept is based on two-stage boosting and intercooling using a Rotrex supercharger and Honeywell turbocharger. For simplicity in the initial test bed prototype configuration however, boosting is provided by an external compressed air supply. The engine control system of the prototype is a DENSO rapid
    prototyping system working with DENSO gasoline direct injection and ignition components. The prototype engine was built at the Ricardo Shoreham Technical Centre and installed for testing at the Sir Harry Ricardo Laboratories of the University of Brighton, UK.

    Development test results

    Testing of the prototype 2/4SIGHT engine has enabled development and
    validation of the combustion system which has been optimized for operation
    in both two and four-stroke modes. The flexibility of the advanced control
    system — developed jointly by DENSO and Ricardo — allows rapid changes to
    high level code which, coupled with the flexibility of the EHV valvetrain,
    has enabled the project team to develop and optimize a new control strategy
    for the 2/4SIGHT engine, including the management of two-four-stroke
    switching.

    Highlights of the development test results include:
    — Smooth and reliable switching between two- and four-stroke modes under
    both constant torque conditions and transient operation.
    — Control strategies amenable to implementation in cost-effective
    mechanical valvetrain hardware.
    — Extremely high two-stroke specific torque demonstrated of 150 Nm/L at
    1000 rev/min and 230 Nm/L at 2500 rev/min, opening the prospect of
    highly aggressive engine downsizing using the 2/4SIGHT engine concept.

    Significant improvements in fuel economy

    Following completion of the test program, Ricardo has carried out a
    vehicle drive cycle and acceleration performance simulation based on the
    steady state fuel consumption and full load performance of the 2/4SIGHT
    engine. The study was carried out using the Ricardo powertrain blockset in
    the MSC “EASY5(TM)” software package that allows detailed modeling of
    engines, transmissions, drivelines, tires and aerodynamics. The baseline
    vehicle for the study was an 1800 kg passenger car sold in the European
    market with a 3.5-liter naturally aspirated V6 gasoline engine and 5 speed
    conventional automatic transmission with torque converter. To verify the
    validity of the models and input data, the baseline vehicle fuel
    consumption results were compared with published data, which were
    reproduced by the model to an acceptable accuracy of 1%.

    Development test results

    Testing of the prototype 2/4SIGHT engine has enabled development and
    validation of the combustion system which has been optimized for operation
    in both two and four-stroke modes. The flexibility of the advanced control
    system — developed jointly by DENSO and Ricardo — allows rapid changes to
    high level code which, coupled with the flexibility of the EHV valvetrain,
    has enabled the project team to develop and optimize a new control strategy
    for the 2/4SIGHT engine, including the management of two-four-stroke
    switching.

    Highlights of the development test results include:
    — Smooth and reliable switching between two- and four-stroke modes under
    both constant torque conditions and transient operation.
    — Control strategies amenable to implementation in cost-effective
    mechanical valvetrain hardware.
    — Extremely high two-stroke specific torque demonstrated of 150 Nm/L at
    1000 rev/min and 230 Nm/L at 2500 rev/min, opening the prospect of
    highly aggressive engine downsizing using the 2/4SIGHT engine concept.

    Significant improvements in fuel economy

    Following completion of the test program, Ricardo has carried out a
    vehicle drive cycle and acceleration performance simulation based on the
    steady state fuel consumption and full load performance of the 2/4SIGHT
    engine. The study was carried out using the Ricardo powertrain blockset in
    the MSC “EASY5(TM)” software package that allows detailed modeling of
    engines, transmissions, drivelines, tires and aerodynamics. The baseline
    vehicle for the study was an 1800 kg passenger car sold in the European
    market with a 3.5-liter naturally aspirated V6 gasoline engine and 5 speed
    conventional automatic transmission with torque converter. To verify the
    validity of the models and input data, the baseline vehicle fuel
    consumption results were compared with published data, which were
    reproduced by the model to an acceptable accuracy of 1%.

    Having completed development of the prototype 2/4SIGHT engine, the
    partners are currently negotiating potential sources of funding and support
    for a vehicle demonstration program. Commenting on the successful
    completion of the prototype engine development program, Ricardo technology
    director, Neville Jackson, said: “The completion of the prototype engine
    development program of the 2/4SIGHT engine and demonstration of its
    two-/four-stroke switching capability is an important milestone for the
    project partners. While significant further research and development
    challenges remain, not least in the vehicle demonstration of this advanced
    engine concept, the initial prototype development project has demonstrated
    the potential of 2/4SIGHT to offer improved gasoline fuel economy and
    reduced CO2 emissions, while also maintaining or improving vehicle
    performance. In addition to validating the 2/4SIGHT concept, the research
    project is also delivering significant benefits in terms of its many
    constituent technologies which are likely to see application in the more
    immediate term.”

    The 2/4SIGHT project team

    The 2/4SIGHT project was led and coordinated by Ricardo. In addition
    the company was responsible for design and development of the prototype
    engine and integration of its systems. DENSO was responsible for
    development and supply of the direct fuel injection and advanced engine
    control systems. Ma 2T4 contributed its knowledge and expertise of
    valvetrain switching technology. Brunel University, UK, carried out
    single-cylinder engine testing and development. The University of Brighton,
    UK, carried out multi-cylinder engine testing and combustion and cooling
    system analysis. The 2/4SIGHT project was part-funded by the British
    Government through the Technology Strategy Board. The Board’s mission is to
    promote and support research into, and development and exploitation of,
    technology and innovation for the benefit of UK business, in order to
    increase economic growth and improve the quality of life.

    About Ricardo

    Ricardo the Eco-Innovation Technology Company, is a leading independent
    provider of technology, product innovation, engineering solutions and
    strategic consulting to the world’s automotive, military, transport and new
    energy industries. The company’s skill base represents the state-of-the-art
    in low emissions and fuel-efficient powertrain technology, and can be best
    summarized: “Ricardo is Fuel Economy.”

    With technical centers and offices throughout Europe, the U.S. and
    Asia, Ricardo provides engineering expertise ranging from vehicle systems
    integration, controls & electronics, hardware and software development, to
    the latest driveline and transmission systems and gasoline, diesel, hybrid
    and fuel cell powertrain technologies. Its customers include the world’s
    major automakers and suppliers as well as manufacturers in the military,
    commercial, off-highway and clean energy sectors. The company also serves
    in advisory roles to governmental and independent agencies. Ricardo’s U.S.
    operation, Ricardo, Inc., is headquartered in Van Buren Township, Michigan.
    Ricardo plc posted sales of $344 million in financial year 2007 and is a
    constituent of the FTSE TechMark 100 index – a group of innovative
    technology companies listed on the London Stock Exchange. For more
    information, visit http://www.ricardo.com.

    GM Ready to Take Next Big Hybrid Leap

    GM Ready to Take Next Big Hybrid Leap
    By David E. Zoia
    WardsAuto.com, Mar 4, 2008 8:45 AM

    PONTIAC, MI – General Motors Corp. will lay the groundwork to go high volume with hybrids in 2010, when it launches its lithium-ion-based next-generation technology.

    GM CEO Rick Wagoner is set to detail plans for the next, aggressive stage in the auto maker’s belt alternator/starter system (BAS) hybrid-electric vehicle technology today at the Geneva auto show.

    GM’s current low-cost BAS technology bowed on the Saturn Vue Green Line in 2006 and now is featured on mild-hybrid versions of the Saturn Aura and Chevrolet Malibu – all equipped with GM’s Ecotec 4-cyl. engine and a 4-speed automatic transmission.

    gm-next-generation-hybrid-system-chart.gif

    Unlike the current system, the new version is designed to be compatible with any GM vehicle and powertrain around the world – from gasoline to diesel and 4-cyl. to V-8, paving the way for the auto maker to seriously crank up the volume, particularly as fuel-economy regulations continue to toughen in the U.S., Europe and elsewhere.

    The system is expected to have a bigger impact on improving fuel economy than the current version, because its higher output capability will allow GM to downsize a vehicle’s internal-combustion engine without negatively impacting performance.

    GM executives here for a backgrounder on the new system are cautious about predicting volumes, but it’s clear the goal is to begin proliferating the system throughout the auto maker’s global lineup in short order.

    “We’re going to debut in North America in 2010, and then, after that, there’s a significant volume growth potential, a lot of potential for applications, and we see this as a real expanding technology,” says Stephen Poulos, global chief engineer-GM hybrid system.

    “I think the only thing we’re prepared to say is that you can expect volumes in excess of 100,000,” he says, declining to be more specific. “But this is not something we’re going to just put in a few variants.”

    GM won’t say which vehicles will be first to get the new system. It is being shown in Geneva on the Saab 9-X concept, a new entry-level model for the Swedish brand based on the Opel Astra. Insiders say there already are production engineering programs under way involving a wide range of vehicles, from trucks to midsize sedans and small cars.

    “I think the strength of the system is that we can use it just about where we choose to, not depending on the engine or the vehicle application or the market,” says spokesman Brian Corbett. “We’ll take it where we need it, where we think it’s best applied.”

    Technical details are being kept close to the vest, but GM says the system is three times as powerful as the current BAS technology, thanks to its Li-ion batteries. It also provides more regenerative-braking capability and will improve fuel efficiency beyond the 10%-25% gain offered by the current system, depending on application.

    Its design and packaging is similar to the current BAS, though the Li-ion batteries take up about 24% less space, have 40% less mass and provide 33% more power than the nickel-metal-hydride cells they replace.

    “We took the same system and put it on steroids,” Poulos says.

    The starter-generator, itself, is slightly larger than the current unit but still fits in the same space and employs the same accessory drive system. Poulos declines to provide specific power output numbers but says the unit provides three times the boost of the current 6.7-hp (5-kW) motor.

    GM also doesn’t reveal the supplier for the Li-ion battery technology, nor does it disclose details as to the cells’ chemical compound. It would not say whether the chemistry is similar to what will be used for Li-ion batteries for its upcoming Chevrolet Volt or Saturn Vue plug-in hybrids due sometime after 2009.

    The Wall Street Journal, citing GM sources, says Japan’s Hitachi Ltd. has landed the first contract to supply the batteries. GM is working with A123Systems Inc., Compact Power Inc. and Continental Automotive Systems on Li-ion batteries for the Volt and Saft Advanced Power Solutions LLC and Cobasys for Li-ion batteries for the Vue plug-in.

    Using Li-ion in this application is an easier technical hurdle than in a vehicle such as the Volt, which requires batteries capable of delivering a more extended driving range, Poulos says.

    “What we’re doing here, in some ways, I would call it a Li-ion-friendly application,” he says. “Lithium ion is a very high-power capability for its weight and mass, and that’s really a great fit for what we’re doing here.”

    Despite the more expensive battery technology and bigger motor, the auto maker says it expects the cost of the system to be similar to today’s, where the Malibu and Aura, both based at $22,790, are among the lowest-priced hybrids offered in the U.S.

    Higher volumes and better component integration will help keep costs down, Poulos says.

    “Clearly we’re adding more capability, so we’re going after higher-power devices, but we’re also switching to motor technology that is less expensive,” he says.

    “The method of integration of the components is something that reduces our cost as well,” Poulos adds. “The big enabler for us is really going to be the volume, though. If we can tread water on the cost of the components with a system that is that more capable, we’re doing well.”

    How big an impact the new modular system will have on fuel economy will depend on the application, and whether the vehicle is optimized for fuel economy or performance, Poulos says.

    “There’s a wide range of what you’ll see,” he says.

    In a straight switch to the new system without additional engineering changes to the powertrain or vehicle, it could improve fuel economy 1-2 mpg (0.4-0.8 km/L), Poulos says.

    But it appears likely GM will try to pair the more powerful hybrid system with downsized engines, which could boost the fuel economy gains significantly beyond a couple miles per gallon.

    For instance, GM says a 2.4L turbocharged gasoline engine coupled to the second-generation BAS could mimic the torque curve of a 3.6L V-6 with variable valve technology, allowing the auto maker to employ a smaller engine without customers noticing a difference in performance.

    GM is the second OE in the past few days to announce near-term plans to use Li-ion batteries in hybrids. Daimler AG said last week it would launch a hybrid version of its Mercedes S-Class flagship that would use Li-ion technology in 2009.

    GM says it now has 1,600 engineers working on hybrid-vehicle development in 11 countries worldwide. It will launch its first hybrid for sale outside the U.S., the Buick LaCrosse EcoHybrid, in China later this year. It employs the first-generation BAS system.

    GM says the ability to pair the BAS system with bigger engines, including V-8s, will not affect plans for its 2-Mode hybrid system offered on some fullsize SUVs. GM will offer the more premium-priced 2-Mode system in fullsize pickups later this year and launch its first front-drive application in the Saturn Vue in late-2008.

    Although the two systems won’t share components, software will be similar in the future, Poulos says.

    “That’s a huge driver for us,” he says. “It’s something most people don’t think about; they don’t recognize it. There will be a lot of commonality in what we’re doing in the future, which is different from what we have today. Today there are two different software sets completely.”

    The auto maker says it is studying whether to re-name its second-generation hybrid system. “BAS-plus” reportedly is in the running.